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Home : Fund Information : Institutional Class : Fund Commentaries


for Quarter ended June 30, 2002

 

Commentaries for the institutional class of the Large Cap Value Fund, Small Cap Value Fund, International Equity Fund and the High Yield Bond Fund. For a prospectus describing fees and expenses, click on the link on the link to the left. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.


Large Cap Value Fund

Investors’ concerns over corporate governance and accounting irregularities weighed heavily on the market during the second quarter. This was a quarter in which the market fell sharply and provided no place to hide. Traditional defensive groups such as pharmaceuticals, tobacco, telecommunications and electric utilities, all did poorly in the month of June. Amidst these difficulties, the economy showed signs of improvement, primarily driven by the resilient consumer market. Even in a nervous economic environment, consumers continued to buy homes, autos and other goods during the period.

The American AAdvantage Large Cap Value Fund Institutional Class returned -8.4%, outperforming the S&P 500/BARRA Value Index return of -10.6% and ahead of the Lipper Multi - Cap Value Index return of -10.5%. For complete fund performance, click here.

Favorable security selection was the primary driver of outperformance over the benchmark. Decisions in the consumer discretionary sector, like overweighting Fortune Brands (up 13.9%) and Wendy’s International (up 14.0%), while not holding AOL Time Warner (down 37.8%) and Walt Disney (down 18.1%), contributed a total of 1.6% to the Fund’s relative return in this sector. Performance was also driven by stock selection within the financial sector through underweightings in Citigroup (down 21.4%), American International (down 5.4%), and Merrill Lynch & Co. (down 26.6%). Also during the period, the Fund’s overweighting in utilities detracted from relative returns as this sector was down 19.9% for the quarter.

The Fund’s advisers believe the economic environment is favorable for value investors, but remain cautious given signs that the economic recovery is proceeding at a slow pace. Consequently, they believe that a meaningful advance in profits and stock prices will develop more slowly than investors have been anticipating. While all the noise about corporate governance, accounting scandals and terrorist threats has certainly been a factor, the Fund’s advisers believe the stock market is primarily reflecting the disappointing pace of economic recovery. However, the current weakness in the market has provided the Fund’s advisers an opportunity to purchase quality companies with attractive valuations. This market should reward disciplined investors who carefully evaluate companies and pay close attention to true fundamental valuations.

 


 

Small Cap Value Fund

The current economic recovery is proving to be very different from previous recoveries in that the U.S. stock market has remained fairly weak. Relentless reports of questionable accounting practices, capped by WorldCom’s record earnings restatement in June, have battered investors’ trust in corporate management. For the quarter and the year, large cap growth stocks fell the farthest while small value stocks held up relatively well. Investors are recognizing that value companies have not faced the intense pressure to expand earnings to keep pace with their growth counterparts and therefore, are less likely to have improperly reported earnings.

The American AAdvantage Small Cap Value Fund Institutional Class returned -2.9% for the quarter, slightly trailing the Russell 2000 Value Index return of -2.1%, but well ahead of the Lipper Small Cap Value Index return of -4.1%. In this difficult environment, the Fund provided an impressive twelve-month return of 15.3%, well ahead of the Russell 2000 Value Index return of 8.5% and the Lipper Small Cap Value Index at 5.1%. For complete fund performance, click here.

Sectors related to consumer spending such as retail, housing, and apparel have been the strongest performers throughout the year. The Fund was overweighted in these groups due to their attractive valuations, and the holdings have performed well relative to consumer stocks overall. The consumer discretionary sector contributed over 1.9% in excess relative returns versus the Russell 2000 Value Index. Key names in this sector included M/I Schottenstein Homes (up 33.3%), MDC Holdings, Inc. (up 20.6%), and Lone Star Steakhouse (up 14.5%). The largest negative contributor to the Fund’s return relative to the benchmark was its underweighting in financial stocks, since financials was the highest performing sector of the Russell 2000 Value Index for the quarter, up 5.0%.

Further stock market volatility is expected as accounting scandals have affected investors’ confidence. Despite the seemingly endless stream of earnings restatements and other reports of poor corporate behavior, the Fund’s advisers remain hopeful that the slowly emerging economic recovery will eventually drive the stock market higher. When this occurs, it is expected to create value opportunities for the Fund.

 


 

International Equity Fund

Unlike the first quarter of 2002, when the international markets finished with a roar, they exited the second quarter with a whimper. Investors were confronted with the realization that the economic recovery would be subdued at best, despite record low interest rates, and might lead to weak corporate earnings. The MSCI EAFE Index was up nearly 2% through the end of May, before slumping in June to end the second quarter down just over 2%. While the lack of economic recovery and accounting concerns impacted market returns, the sharp decline of the U.S. Dollar provided some relief to overseas investors, as it weakened relative to all the major currencies. The Euro gained over 13% in the quarter to close near parity with the U.S. Dollar, a level last reached in February of 2000. Also, despite numerous interventions by the Bank of Japan, the Yen strengthened by nearly 10% relative to the U.S. Dollar during the quarter.

The American AAdvantage International Equity Fund Institutional Class returned -0.9% during the quarter, outperforming the MSCI EAFE Index return of -2.1% and the Lipper International Index return of -1.9% for the same period. The Fund returned 3.0% year-to date, ahead of the EAFE Index return of -1.6% and the Lipper return of 0.5%. For complete fund performance, click here.

The Fund performed reasonably well during the market decline due to the Fund’s advisers’ continued focus on solid valuations. The Fund’s advisers underweighted the technology sector, which was the worst sector for the quarter as it dropped over 20%. The weighting in the telecom sector has increased over the past couple of quarters, but the focus has been on companies with more dependable growth forecasts and valuations. This strategy allowed the Fund to add 1.0% in relative performance over the EAFE Index by avoiding such names as Vodafone (down 25.2%), Deutsche Telekom (down 35.8%), and France Telecom (down, 68.0%).

From a country standpoint, the Fund’s advisers added value through strong stock selection in key European markets, particularly the United Kingdom, Finland, Switzerland, and Sweden. In the UK, the Fund’s advisers’ significant overweightings in Unilever (up 15.7%), Bae Systems (up 8.7%) and Cadbury Schweppes (up 8.5%) contributed to the excess returns over the EAFE Index. In Finland, the Fund’s advisers also added value by overweighting Upm-Kymmene Corp (up 15.1%) and avoiding Nokia (down 30.8%).

Volatility in the global equity markets has provided the Fund with opportunities to find bargain stocks. The recent market decline may represent a turning point for the dollar. Consequently, with valuations at a significant discount to those in the U.S., supportive global monetary policy, and currency movements now enhancing returns, the outlook for international investing appears relatively bright.

 


 

High Yield Bond

The equity markets continued their steady slide during the second quarter of 2002, with the S&P 500 Index breaking 10,000 and falling 7.1% for the month of June alone. Stocks and bonds were punished during the quarter by investors’ fears, rather than by fundamentals. While it is anticipated that second quarter growth will slow to around 2%, the Federal Reserve Bank announced at the end of June that "economic activity is increasing" and they are expecting "the rate of increase of final demand to pick up over the coming quarters."

The high yield distressed debt market was hit by a seemingly daily barrage of negative corporate announcements, starting with the insider trading investigation against Sam Waksal of ImClone and culminating with the announcement of accounting irregularities at WorldCom. These revelations caused an unstable atmosphere in which many companies were subject to rumors of accounting improprieties. While many of these issues will continue to give investors a prolonged sense of concern, the Fund’s investment advisor believes that the longer-term consequences will help to clean up the market and purge future uncertainties from the picture.

The American AAdvantage High Yield Bond Fund returned -1.4% for the quarter, outperforming the Salomon Smith Barney High Yield Cash Pay Index return of -7.5% and the Lipper High Current Yield Index return of -5.6%. For complete fund performance, click here.

The value of the Fund’s disciplined bottom-up approach is well illustrated by comparing some of the Fund’s industry weightings during the second quarter to those of Salomon Smith Barney High Yield Cash Pay Index. In particular, the search for undervalued securities resulted in the Fund’s overweighting in industrials (up 4.7%) and in consumer products/tobacco industries (up 3.0%). Additionally, the Fund was underweighted versus the Index in the diversified telecommunications industry (down 65.6%) and the cable industry (down 29.6%).

The Fund’s investment adviser believes that its rigorous individualized issue analysis, anchored by intense credit research and experienced judgment, should allow for the Fund’s continued success.

 

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